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The Major League Baseball season is essentially in the middle of the road and the Cleveland Guardians still find themselves within striking distance of a division and playoff title with a 38-40 record. With 84 games to go, we’re taking a look at the Guardians’ current MLB prospects in the second half of the season.
Potential future guardians
|to make the playoffs||Yes (+155) | No (-180)|
The Guardians’ futures chances at the DraftKings as of June 28 don’t give Cleveland much hope of making the playoffs with the no favorite at -180 odds. Just two games from top of the division, they are +165 to win the All Central. A shot in the American League or the World Series, are long shots at +2000 and +5000 odds respectively.
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Can the Guardians win the AL Central?
Cleveland is very much alive in the division title race for the AL Central despite having a sub-. 500 record. This is because none of their opponents have been much better so far this season.
The Minnesota Twins lead the pack at 40-41, two games ahead of the Guardians in the 38-40s division.
But both the Detroit Tigers at 34-44 and the Chicago White Sox at 34-47 are still in the conversation.
The Kansas City Royals at 22-57 can’t look below the Oakland Athletics in the overall standings and are out of any future MLB talks.
Obviously, with 84 games remaining, it would only take a few winning streaks and a slip in form by the Twins for the Guardians to overtake the top spot. according to Tankathon, the remaining strength of Cleveland’s schedule is only the 20th hardest. Their remaining opponents have an average win rate of . 498.
But while that sounds reasonable, every other team in their division has easier remaining schedules.
The White Sox have the easiest (.463), the Tigers have the second easiest (.471), the Twins have the third (.475) and the Royals fourth (.487).
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Cleveland just started a three-game game with the Royals last night and won 2-1.
They have four more games versus the Royals coming from July 6-9. But it will also play the Cubs (37-40) and Braves NL leader (52-27) among those Royals series. So there are some soft spots and some harder spots in their upcoming schedule.
But overall, Cleveland will need to do better against its Division 2 rivals in the second half of the season if they hope to take the division. So far they are 4-3 against the Twins, 2-4 against the Tigers, 2-4 against the White Sox and 1-0 against the Royals.
If you think they can improve against these division foes even slightly over the summer and fall months, betting the Guardians extra money to win an AL Central game is a good bet. So it will also be a bet on them making the playoffs.
These odds are almost identical. This is because Cleveland’s only realistic shot at the playoffs would be to win the division.
They are currently six games behind the Los Angeles Angels in the last wild card spot and three other teams between them and the Angels.
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Odds for the World Championship of Guardians
As mentioned earlier, the odds makers don’t give the Guardians much of a chance to get deep into the playoffs if they make it.
A bet to win the MLS pennant is included at odds of +2000. The bet to go further and win the World Championship is the +5000 distance.
The Guardians’ defense was strong. They finished seventh in team ERA, fourth in home runs given up and 12th in fielding percentage. But despite these decent numbers on the defensive side of the ball, they simply don’t create enough offense to be considered in MLB or World Series Guardians MLB futures bets.
Cleveland ranks 17th in team batting average, 17th in total hits and 30th in total home runs. They actually have 14 home runs fewer than the 29th closest team, which is the National Team.
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